My A.I. Psychosis

My A.I. Psychosis

Digital Copies of Breast Tumors Called Treatment Results 74% of the Time

Digital twins of 31 breast-cancer patients' tumors, built at UCL and Cambridge, matched real treatment results 74% of the time, looking back at known outcomes. Secondary reports; the journal paper was not opened.

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My A.I. Psychosis
Nov 04, 2026
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TL;DR

Researchers in London and Cambridge built a computer copy of each patient's tumor, a "digital twin" made from the tumor's genetics, and tried treatments on the copy instead of the person. Run against 31 patients with triple-negative breast cancer, the twins called whether treatment would work in 74% of cases, roughly three of every four. For people facing cancer, the hope is simple: a doctor could test-drive several drug plans on a copy of the tumor and start with the one most likely to work, skipping months on a treatment that fails. The test so far looked back at patients whose results were already known; a forward-looking test is next, and our odds on it are an 85% chance it works, likely by 2029. To see the full odds and the timeline of breakthroughs that leads to digital patients, subscribe.

A story we are following. Computer stand-ins for patients could speed up every drug, gene therapy and anti-aging treatment that now waits years on human trials.

Below the line, for paid subscribers: The full story: where it stands, how we got here and what's dated next; our labeled speculation on what it adds up to; and every source.

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