TL;DR
A robot that walks through the house on two legs, takes spoken orders and remembers where the dishes go may one day cost about as much as a used car, and a second company now says so with a price tag. Tuesday Labs, a New York start-up, is taking $200 reservations for Voxel, a two-legged, two-armed home robot it prices at $20,000, with a U.S. launch promised for 2028. Every detail is a company claim, reported secondhand through a single news aggregator, with no performance data shown yet. Our odds that Tuesday Labs delivers Voxel to U.S. buyers: 45%, likely by 2028. What the announcement does show is a number settling into place: two companies now put a household humanoid at the same $20,000, a hint of what the first home robots may cost once they can do the chores on their own. To read the odds on a $20,000 home robot and the timeline of breakthroughs that could put one in the kitchen, subscribe.
Below the line, for paid subscribers: The full story: where it stands, how we got here and what's dated next; our Odds board on 5 milestones, starting with "Tuesday Labs delivers Voxel to U.S. buyers"; our labeled speculation on what it adds up to; and every source.